As the temperatures start to cool and the chance of our first snowflakes is increasing in northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin, a special kind of joy fills the air.

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Families are excited about winter’s arrival from Rockford to Madison, and thoughts quickly turn to one big question: Will we have a white Christmas?

Odds of a White Christmas This Year

While forecasts vary, the Old Farmer’s Almanac suggests that this winter may be milder than usual in much of the United States, though northern Midwest states are more likely to see snow.

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Before we get to the predictions for the Northern Illinois and Southern Wisconsin area, here's what the OFA is forecasting for Christmas around the U.S., in case you're planning to travel for the holidays:

  • Texas–Oklahoma: There will not be a white Christmas.
  • High Plains: The northern part of the region may experience a white Christmas. The southern piece, mainly south of I-70, will see a white Christmas.
  • Intermountain: There is a chance of a white Christmas; there will be a white Christmas in the Rockies. The northern part of Arizona will not have a white Christmas.
  • Desert Southwest: There will not be a white Christmas.
  • Pacific Northwest: There will not be a white Christmas.
  • Pacific Southwest: There will not be a white Christmas.
  • Alaska: There will be a white Christmas.
  • Hawaii: There will not be a white Christmas.

According to the Old Farmer's Almanac White Christmas prediction map, "there will NOT be white Christmas" for the Lower Great Lakes region, but in the Ohio Valley, there's a chance of a white Christmas.

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And in the Heartland, the Almanac says "There WILL be a white Christmas." But, for the UPPER Midwest, there will NOT be snow on December 25, 2024.

Old Farmers Almanac
Old Farmers Almanac
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So, I guess the first thing you need to determine is which area of the "midwest" you reside in: Upper, Lower Great Lakes, Heartland, Ohio Valley?

Holiday Traditions and Outdoor Fun in the Snow

The dream of a snowy Christmas is cherished in Illinois and Wisconsin, and around the Rockford area when the first snow falls, it's the start of festive traditions.

Families flock to local sledding hills, lace up ice skates, and build snowmen—creating memories that add to the joy of the season. For many, these traditions feel incomplete without a fresh blanket of snow come Christmas morning, inspiring hope that winter will deliver a little holiday magic.

Whether or not a white Christmas is guaranteed for the Stateline area, the first snow of the season will bring holiday excitement and keep Midwesterners hopeful for a classic, snowy celebration.

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